Decision Modeler Report

COVID19 Severe Disease

Published: 4/14/2020

By: John Svirbely MD

Table of Contents

COVID19 Severe Disease

Overview

COVID19 Severe Disease

Decision Requirement Diagram

Elements

COVID19 Severe Disease

Overview

Infection with the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV, COVID-19) may show a number of complications, some of which can be fatal.

COVID19 Severe Disease

Decision Requirement Diagram

Elements

Does the patient have severe disease? (Decision)

Decision Logic (Decision Table)

Does the patient have severe disease?

U

Number of significant findings

Does the patient have severe disease?

Description

"No", "Yes"

1

0

"No"

2

>0

"Yes"


References (Knowledge Source)

Description

Chen N, Zhou M, et al. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. Lancet. 2020. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30211-7.

Holshue ML, DeBolt C, et al. First case of 2019 novel coronavirus in the United States. N Engl J Med. 2020. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001191.

Huang C, Wang Y, et al. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. Lancet 2020. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5.

Li Q, Guan X, et al. Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia. N Engl J Med. 2020. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316

World Health Organization. Clinical management of severe acute respiratory infection when novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection is suspected. WHO/nCoV/Clinical/2020.2

Attachment

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study.
First case of 2019 novel coronavirus in the United States.
Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. Lancet 2020.
Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia.

Number of significant findings (Decision)

Decision Logic (Decision Table)

Number of significant findings

C+

Bacterial pneumonia

Sepsis

Severe ARDS

Myocarditis with heart failure

Multiorgan failure

Number of significant findings

Description

1

false

-

-

-

-

0

2

true

-

-

-

-

1

3

-

false

-

-

-

0

4

-

true

-

-

-

1

5

-

-

false

-

-

0

6

-

-

true

-

-

1

7

-

-

-

false

-

0

8

-

-

-

true

-

1

9

-

-

-

-

false

0

10

-

-

-

-

true

1


Bacterial pneumonia (Input Data)

Sepsis (Input Data)

Severe ARDS (Input Data)

Myocarditis with heart failure (Input Data)

Multiorgan failure (Input Data)