Decision Modeler Report

COVID19 Patient Risk for Fatal Disease simplified

Published: 4/14/2020

By: John Svirbely MD

Table of Contents

COVID19 Patient Risk for Fatal Disease simplified

Overview

COVID19 Patient Risk Fatal Disease

Decision Requirement Diagram

Elements

COVID19 Patient Risk for Fatal Disease simplified

Overview

The risk for mortality associated with a COVID-19 infection increases with age and comorbid conditions.

COVID19 Patient Risk Fatal Disease

Decision Requirement Diagram

Elements

Risk for Fatal COVID19 Infection (Decision)

Decision Logic (Decision Table)

Risk for Fatal COVID19 Infection

U

Age in Years

Number of comorbid conditions

Risk for Fatal COVID19 Infection

Description

[0..125]
"very low", "low", "moderate", "moderate to high", "high", "very high"

1

<=40

0

"very low"

2

<=40

>=1

"moderate"

3

(40..50]

0

"low"

4

(40..50]

>=1

"moderate"

5

(50..65]

0

"moderate"

6

(50..65]

>=1

"moderate to high"

7

(66..70]

0

"moderate to high"

8

(66..70]

>=1

"high"

9

>70

0

"high"

10

>70

>=1

"very high"


References (Knowledge Source)

Description

Clinical predictors of mortality due to COVID-19 based on an analysis of data of 150 patients from WRuan Q, Yang K, et al. uhan, China. Intensive Care Medicine. doi: 10.1007/s00134-020-05991-x

Attachment

Clinical predictors of mortality due to COVID-19 based on an analysis of data of 150 patients from Wuhan, China.

Number of comorbid conditions (Decision)

Decision Logic (Decision Table)

Number of comorbid conditions

C+

COPD or chronic lung disease

Coronary artery disease

Diabetes mellitus

Heart failure

Immunodeficiency including transplant

Other comorbid condition

Hypertension

Number of comorbid conditions

Description

1

false

-

-

-

-

-

-

0

2

true

-

-

-

-

-

-

1

3

-

false

-

-

-

-

-

0

4

-

true

-

-

-

-

-

1

5

-

-

false

-

-

-

-

0

6

-

-

true

-

-

-

-

1

7

-

-

-

false

-

-

-

0

8

-

-

-

true

-

-

-

1

9

-

-

-

-

false

-

-

0

10

-

-

-

-

true

-

-

1

11

-

-

-

-

-

false

-

0

12

-

-

-

-

-

true

-

1

13

-

-

-

-

-

-

false

0

14

-

-

-

-

-

-

true

1


Age in Years (Input Data)

Semantic Link

Demographics Vitals Pulmonary - Age in Years

COPD or chronic lung disease (Input Data)

Heart failure (Input Data)

Coronary artery disease (Input Data)

Diabetes mellitus (Input Data)

Immunodeficiency including transplant (Input Data)

Hypertension (Input Data)

Other comorbid condition (Input Data)

Description

This would include chronic kidney disease and cancer.